High Risk of Near Term Global Financial Market Crash At each juncture, I look at the available information as represented in the market price and technical data.  I approach the body of evidence without preconception and with an open “beginner’s mind”.  I see what I see.  I analyze.  I develop a set of probabilistic outcomes [...]

http://www.thebullbear.com/profiles/blogs/long-term-global-head-and-shoulders-top-likely-in-place   A bit of economic news sparked a minor rally on Tuesday.  The Dow touched a new 4 year intraday high and the financial news media celebrated the moment with banner headlines: In spite of the fact that not one market index anywhere in the world even came close to confirming the new Dow [...]

Why S&P 500 Can Rally Back to the 2007 High As the S&P 500 hovers at its February 2011 high and the Dow toys with its May 2011 peak, many market participants are looking for an important top soon. While I am certainly aware of some good arguments for a new bear plunge–in fact I’ve [...]

Source Link: http://www.thebullbear.com/profiles/blogs/will-the-euro-collapse Will the Euro Collapse? Trading a true currency collapse is a rare opportunity. Most market participants are familiar with the story of George Soros and his ride to prominence on the back of the collapse of the British Pound. Is it possible that a similar opportunity may present itself soon in the [...]

At this time the stock markets have been consolidating in a sideways pattern for nearly six months. The pattern appears to have completed or is near completion coincident with the development of significant watershed moments in the US and European debt situations. It also corresponds with the heart of earnings season (and the resolution of [...]

Is A Stock Market Crash Possible Soon? There are significant signals in the current market that a crash or meltdown scenario could unfold sometime in the next 1-2 weeks. Crashes are rare events and nearly impossible to predict, but many elements that could combine to produce a financial market calamity appear to be present at [...]

(The following is an updated excerpt from the latest BullBear Market Report for BullBear Traders members):   In the introduction to this report, I detailed many of the non-technical elements that should have happened and could have happened and almost happened–but that ultimately failed to happen–leading to a non-confirmation of an ongoing bull market.  Let’s reiterate: I [...]

  (The following is the Introduction to the latest BullBear Market Report for BullBear Traders members) In the last BullBear Market Report, I called for a significant correction to begin and announced that I had closed all long positions and initiated a short position.  My current analysis suggests that that continues to be the correct view [...]

I’ve been long SPX since the September 2010 bottom and an aggressive buyer on pullbacks. Today I exited all long trades and went to 100% cash and then even took on a small short position. My current analysis shows ample reason to conclude that stocks and commodities are in the early stages of a significant [...]

  A few times a year, I like to release the complete text of an edition of my BullBear Market Report.  Here’s the report issued on March 17th in which I called the bottom to the Middle East/Japan panic sell off (after having previously identified the February top).  Following the report are some of my [...]