Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Author Archive

SPY – Consecutive Closes in Top Quartile

SPY – Consecutive Closes in Top Quartile

The last (but not least) study for this weekend – promised – , unfortunately another one suggesting a significantly better-than-random chance for at least one lower close over the course of the next four sessions. On Friday’s session the SPY (S&P 500 SPDR) closed in the top quartile of its daily trading range on the […]

SPX up in OCT, but lower Year-to-Date

SPX up in OCT, but lower Year-to-Date

cartoon9www.CartoonStock.com A second setup triggered on the close of October 31, 2011, caught my eye today. The S&P 500 closed out the month of October with an impressive 10.77% gain, but was still down -0.35% year-to-date due to a weak final session of October. The table below shows all historical […]

SPX Down on 1st Session in NOV

SPX Down on 1st Session in NOV

cartoon8www.CartoonStock.com Sorry for the posting hiatus during the last couple of month. More to come (but it may take some time to get into a – hopefully – daily routine again, please stay tuned …) With the S&P 500 up 10.77% for the month of October and probably (at least […]

SPX Hits New High before President’s Day

SPX Hits New High before President’s Day

cartoon7www.CartoonStock.com Whatever the fundamental or political news are, or even with historical probabilities and odds (heavily) tilt in favor of lower prices over the short-term, the market currently defies all negative odds. At least two noticeable setups were triggered on close of Friday, February 18, 2011: the S&P 500 hit […]

S&P 500 at 52-Week High at Start of OPEX Week

S&P 500 at 52-Week High at Start of OPEX Week

cartoon6www.CartoonStock.com The S&P 500 closed modestly higher today (+0.24%) – fully compliant to historical probabilities and odds (see ‘Successful Investing Is Anticipating the Anticipations of Others.’) -, on a(nother) fresh 52-week high for the second session in a row, right at the start of February’s option expiration (opex) week (which […]

‘Successful Investing Is Anticipating the Anticipations of Others.’

‘Successful Investing Is Anticipating the Anticipations of Others.’

cartoon5‘Successful investing is anticipating the anticipations of others.’ (as quoted in Isms (2006) by Gregory Bergman, p.105)

As long as everybody and his grandmother assumes that any ‘dip’ will provide a favorable buying opportunity, …

SPY Closed 2 SD above 20-Day MA

SPY Closed 2 SD above 20-Day MA

www.CartoonStock.com Despite the fact that most recently the market regularly defied all probabilities and odds for closing lower, on close of Monday, February 7 2011, another negative setup had been triggered calling for a lower close (SPY: below 131.97) at the end of the current week and /or right at the start of the next […]

SPY UP > 2.5% MtD on Day 1 of Week 2

SPY UP > 2.5% MtD on Day 1 of Week 2

www.CartoonStock.com At time of writing (2:30 PM), the SPY (S&P 500 SPDR) is currently up +0.79% on the day, and up +2.71% month-to-date on the first session of the second week of the current month. But even taking into account that mean-reversion came a bit out-of-favor since the bull-run started a couple of month ago, […]

February’s Seasonalities

February’s Seasonalities

www.CartoonStock.com (jump to the conclusions directly) Apologies for the posting hiatus during the last week, but a) from my perspective there is not much to blog about (the trend is still up), and b) I’ve a lot of technical issues with my current domain hosting provider, and I’m preparing to move over to a new […]

SPX and January’s Turn-of-the-Month

SPX and January’s Turn-of-the-Month

www.CartoonStock.com (jump to the conclusions directly) The S&P 500 posted a fresh 52-week high on Wednesday, January 26, 2011, and possibly (at time of writing) on Thursday, January 27 as well. As already shown in my last posting (see … What a Difference a Fresh 52-Week High Makes …), the S&P 500 at a fresh […]

Back to Top

Social Media Profiles

ADVERTISEMENT

BUSINESS NETWORKS

The New York Times logo CNN logo ABC logo CNBC logo