Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Archive for the Category ‘US Markets’

Intermarket Secular Shifts and the Great Rotation Trade: Long US Stocks, Short Treasuries

Intermarket Secular Shifts and the Great Rotation Trade: Long US Stocks, Short Treasuries

In the introduction to the last Bull Bear Market Report, I further developed the thesis that an impulsive equities bull market began in November 2012: Most analysts continue to make the mistake of believing that a secular bull market started in March of 2009. The actual situation of this market very closely parallels the 1974-1982 […]

Time for a Bull Market Correction

Time for a Bull Market Correction

Time for a Bull Market Correction The last BullBear Market Report concluded that: a new, secular Bull Market began in November 2012. While there is still some chance that a bear market (D) wave top could come in the vicinity of the 2007 highs, evidence is mounting that the 2011-2012 period was a stealth (E) wave […]

Bonds Nears Turning Point As Retail Investors Pile In

Bonds Nears Turning Point As Retail Investors Pile In

Shorting is a game that should be played with caution, however, if done at the right time can pay off handsomely. Generally, this is done when I see something that’s so drastically overvalued that I can’t resist.

Value Line Geometric Index Predicts Major Stock Market Top

Value Line Geometric Index Predicts Major Stock Market Top

Value Line Geometric Index Predicts Major Stock Market Top Source link:  http://www.thebullbear.com/profiles/blogs/value-line-geometic-index-predicts-major-stock-market-top Last week I posted analysis showing that the monthly RSI divergencewhich formed at the 2011 and 2012 highs is a very reliable indicator of a stock market decline of almost 28% lasting 11 months. I continue to see many, many companion signals which […]

Bearish Monthly RSI Divergence 100% Accuracy Rate; Occurred at 91.6% of Stock Market Tops

Bearish Monthly RSI Divergence 100% Accuracy Rate; Occurred at 91.6% of Stock Market Tops

Bearish Monthly RSI Divergence 100% Accuracy Rate; Occurred at 91.6% of Stock Market Tops Source link:  http://www.thebullbear.com/profiles/blogs/stock-financial-market-crash Relative Strength Index is one of the most widely recognized and followed technical indicators. The most common use of RSI is the identification of divergences: Developed J. Welles Wilder, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures […]

LONG TERM GLOBAL HEAD AND SHOULDERS STOCK MARKET TOP LIKELY IN PLACE

LONG TERM GLOBAL HEAD AND SHOULDERS STOCK MARKET TOP LIKELY IN PLACE

http://www.thebullbear.com/profiles/blogs/long-term-global-head-and-shoulders-top-likely-in-place   A bit of economic news sparked a minor rally on Tuesday.  The Dow touched a new 4 year intraday high and the financial news media celebrated the moment with banner headlines: In spite of the fact that not one market index anywhere in the world even came close to confirming the new Dow […]

New Highs Coming in Market Indices

New Highs Coming in Market Indices

IWM is the ETF for the Russell 2000 Index.  The Russell is a leading indicator for the stock market, since speculative money tends to move in and out of small cap stocks first. Below is a Friday’s daily chart of the IWM.  Look at the beautiful parallel bullish channel that just bottomed with the recent […]

No Christmas Rally this Year

No Christmas Rally this Year

Research Paper Help Online The last post analysis identified a symmetrical triangle pattern in the SPY (ETF for S&P 500).  This triangle was formed after a huge rally in the month of October.  All signs were pointed toward an upward breakout leading us into the end of the year with a nice Santa rally.  Well, symmetrical triangles can break […]

Christmas Rally Coming?

Christmas Rally Coming?

With the exception of more shockingly bad news on the European debt front, the chart pattern in setting up perfectly for an end of the year Christmas rally. After a huge pullback late spring and through most of the summer, the S&P 500 staged an incredible rally in the month of October. Then, the past […]

SPY – Consecutive Closes in Top Quartile

SPY – Consecutive Closes in Top Quartile

The last (but not least) study for this weekend – promised – , unfortunately another one suggesting a significantly better-than-random chance for at least one lower close over the course of the next four sessions. On Friday’s session the SPY (S&P 500 SPDR) closed in the top quartile of its daily trading range on the […]

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