I’m a big fan of all kinds of inter market analysis. What about this one: take the stock markets of one of the strongest European countries – Germany – and one of PIGS – Spain – and plot the quotient. Now you have a psychological barometer for the current European Sovereign debt issue (brown curve). The chart becomes even more interesting if you superimpose the Euro:
Note how the Euro turned much weaker during the last peak of the crisis in June. Even though the EWG:EWP ratio is on a similar level – indicating weakness of Spanish stocks – the Euro decline hasn’t been that dramatic so far. I don’t know if my conclusion is correct, but at this point market participants might be less concerned of the severity of the Irish situation.
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