In the previous post we demonstrated that the level of unemployment could hardly influence real economic growth because the portion of people out of labor force changes in a much wider range (by  a factor of 5) and still does not affect the real g…

$ $ $Greed and Optimism trumped Fear and Pessimism this week and the S&P 500 reached a multi-year high!S&P 500 OverviewS&P 500 The S&P 500 closed the week and the month of April at 1363.61 on Friday, April 29, 2011. …

Unemployment is a painful economic phenomenon which drives many social and political processes. For example, the Federal Reserve System has a dual mandate aimed at balancing of inflation and unemployment.  (In macroeconomic, there is no empiricall…

Gold and silver are directly benefiting from the decline in the U.S. Dollar Index. In fact, the entire stock market is rising as the U.S. Dollar Index declines intra-day. Gold and silver are both making new highs this morning. The SPDR Gold Shares is trading higher by 0.68 cents a share to $150.49 a share. [...]

This morning the leading mining equipment stocks are surging higher. The catalyst for the move higher in the sector is the strong market reaction to the Caterpillar Inc.(NYSE:CAT) earnings release. This morning CAT is trading higher by $3.19 to $115.83 a share. This is a new 52 week high for the stock as it gaps [...]

Forest Laboratories (FRX), like Abercrombie & Fitch, also was one of the first companies with a stable and deterministic share price model estimated in September 2009 (back into November 2008).  This is a company from Healthcare subcategory …

Alcoa (AA) is a company from Materials subcategory of the S&P 500 list specialized in aluminum. According to our general approach to share price modeling we decompose the observed time history of the monthly closing AA stock price (adjusted for spl…

Paul Krugman has shown the evolution of headline CPI (level) since 2000 in order to demonstrate that the current trend manifests upcoming hyperinflation. His conclusion is likely wrong due to couple mistakes in the presentation and interpretation. He…

Well I lost my discipline today. I felt like I was trying to prove something when I was holding on to my (losing) position in AVVC. I can’t really explain why I didn’t just let it go, but I tell you what I was waiting for when I was holding on…a …

The Dow Jones Transportation Index(DJT) is one of the most highly followed indexes by traders and investors. This afternoon the Dow Jones Transport Index is trading at a new 52 week high on the charts. This index can be easily followed or traded by using the iShares Dow Jones Transportation ETF(NYSE:IYT). The IYT is trading [...]