Monday, May 21, 2012

It’s A Dollar Story

For over ten years now the major stock indexes have traded inverse to the U.S. Dollar Index. That inverse relationship is back in full force today. Anyone can easily see how the S&P 500 Index e-mini futures (ES H2) jumped off the morning lows as soon as the U.S. Dollar Index tumbled lower. All traders and investors should have a chart of the U.S. Dollar Index futures (DX H2) up at all times. If traders do not have the U.S. Dollar Index chart available the PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (NYSEARCA:UUP) will mimic the action in the dollar.

Most leading commodity stocks will trade inverse to the U.S. Dollar Index. Leading stocks such as Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc (NYSE:FCX), Cliffs Natural Resources Inc (NYSE:CLF), and BHP Billiton Ltd (NYSE:BHP) will usually all rally when the U.S. Dollar Index declines. These stocks have more to do with the movement in the U.S. Dollar Index than anything else. Traders should expect all of the commodity stocks to trade higher if the U.S. Dollar Index declines throughout the day. The bottom line, it is a dollar story and until that correlation changes it will be for quite some time to come.

Nicholas Santiago
InTheMoneyStocks.com



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InTheMoneyStocks.com is a research and consulting company focused on guiding investors, swing traders and day traders to financial success. Their Chief Market Strategists analyze the markets while making calls on everything from stocks to commodities and currencies. Their goal is to not only guide their subscribers but also teach them their proprietary methods leading them to become investing and trading masters.
Nicholas Santiago
Nicholas Santiago

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