Wednesday, May 23, 2012

New Highs on Strong Volume Typically a Positive

Tuesday’s rally came on the highest NYSE volume in 20 days. This is something I examined in last night’s Letter. One filter I’ve found helpful in the past is excluding op-ex Fridays since they will so often post extremely high volume. Below is a stats table from my examination.

These results appear to be very solid for both the short and intermediate-term.

I will note that there are a number of short-term studies pointing south right now. These include studies related to SPY patterns, VIX movement, and seasonality. So immediate upside follow through is very much in question despite what’s shown above. But if I see more bullish evidence emerge over the next few days this study could provide a nice start in building a bullish outlook.



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I have traded professionally since 2001. From January 2003 through February 2007 my bi-weekly column "Rob Hanna's Putting It All Together" appeared on TradingMarkets.com. I have been conducting quantitative research and designing trading systems - mostly focused on short-term edges since 2004.
Rob Hanna
View all posts by Rob Hanna
Robs website

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