Happy Holidays Everyone! I hope you have good times and can enjoy a white season. Looking forward to many (investment) opportunities in 2011.
Happy Holidays Everyone! I hope you have good times and can enjoy a white season. Looking forward to many (investment) opportunities in 2011.
Frequent readers of this blog probably figured out that I’m a big fan of relative strength analysis. Here is a 10-year chart of the relative strength of Apple vs. Microsoft:Based on the relative development of the stock prices of both companies, we can…
I sometimes hear analysts raising concerns because the Volatility Index (VIX) lately moved below 20. Their argument: too much complacency of market participants makes prices vulnerable.Here is a 10-year chart of the VIX. Note how the index traded below…
Interesting developments in Gold: prices started to developed a bearish rising wedge in the last three months (red) and a bullish declining wedge in recent weeks (green). Since the rising pattern still seems in its infancy, I’m actually leaning towards…
Best Buy’s earnings last week disappointed investors big time. The stock opened 15% lower on December 14. The report highlighted once more the major shift to online shopping, a trend, which was highlighted in the recent weekly review of the Bespok…
I can’t stress enough the importance of relative strength analysis for my trading. The relative price development to an index sometimes precedes actually price strength or weakness and marks major transition periods.For example, take Apple at the begin…
Yesterday, I closed the SPXU portfolio hedge position. Even though markets remain overbought and sentiment remains very optimistic, recent price action might indicate a short-term side ways consolidation instead of a major correction. Most important ho…
30-Year Treasury yields rallied quite significantly in the last weeks to 4.25%, barely a level to loose sleep over despite all the chatter about a possible US credit rating downgrade in 2011.Yet, I’m watching yields carefully, because they are approach…
Some of the market breadth indicators I’m following are approaching alarming levels. Standing out at this point is the Equity Put/Call Ratio. This indicator usually quite spiky, so I smooth the ratio using a 5-day moving average. The latest reading is …