Wednesday, May 23, 2012

Posts tagged with the keyword: ‘daily market commentaries’

Financials: is the Sector Turning?

Financials: is the Sector Turning?

I’m closely watching the Financial sector. So far in 2010, stocks in this industry have disappointed, relative strength vs. the S&P has been on a constant decline.There are some chances this trend could reverse, which would prompt me to invest into…

Follow My Trades Now on Yahoo Finance

Follow My Trades Now on Yahoo Finance

Yahoo came out with a new “Market Pulse” feature with Yahoo Finance. Covestor linked  their trade replication to the streams, so you now see immediately when I made a trade in the Model Portfolio:

Market Theme: Accelerating US Economic Recovery

Market Theme: Accelerating US Economic Recovery

My current investment thesis is that markets are in the process of pricing in an acceleration of the US economy. If I’m correct, we should see the following:- A stronger Dollar- Higher bond yields (and lower bond prices):- Higher stock prices:- Weaker …

Gold: Three Technical Reasons to be Bearish

Gold: Three Technical Reasons to be Bearish

In the last two months, Gold has build up some bearish signs:1) A bearish “Three Push” chart pattern2) Price declines came on increased volume3) Momentum has been declining (MACD divergence)On the plus side, Gold prices are closely linked to the Dollar…

Stock Market Sentiment: I don’t want to Spoil the Party, but…

Stock Market Sentiment: I don’t want to Spoil the Party, but…

some of the sentiment/breath indicators I’m watching have started to turn bearish:1)  Equity Put/Call Ratio: the smoothed ratio is currently at 0.5, which is at the lower end of its recent range.There seems an excess of bullishness in the market. …

Covestor Portfolio Snapshot

Covestor Portfolio Snapshot

The market has been incredibly strong in recent weeks, leading stocks held up well and investors have been buying every pullback it seems. Current conditions favor  my momentum trading style. I’m therefore 128% long with 13 positions in the Covest…

The Euro Making a Major Move?

The Euro Making a Major Move?

The Euro is currently the #1 battleground for most investors. The currency offered a nice shorting opportunity between $1.35 and $1.40. Take a look at the following chart:Since 2008, the Euro has demonstrated its capability to decline over 20% over a p…

Why I have been Shorting German and Spanish Banks

Why I have been Shorting German and Spanish Banks

Covestor Model Portfolio clients currently own two short positions in their portfolios: Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB) and Spanish Banco Santander (NYSE: STD). I have been shorting the institution since last week. The following chart from the German “Wirscha…

German Stocks: Another Decoupling Play

German Stocks: Another Decoupling Play

A frequent reader might have noticed by now that I’m a big fan of intermarket analyses. It is sometimes astonishing, how these studies reveal underlying strength and even create compelling pair-trading opportunities.So here is an interesting pair: Germ…

CF Industries: a Decoupling Trade

CF Industries: a Decoupling Trade

I recently added CF Industries (NYSE: CF) to the Covestor Model Portfolio. When I researched the stock, I was surprised of the high correlation to the prices of agricultural commodities (not that I didn’t know that, I expected the correlation to be at …

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